Is the big Covid-19 wave still coming?
In May, the South African Covid-19 Modelling Consortium estimated that the peak in active Covid-19 cases in South Africa is likely to be somewhere between early July (in a pessimistic scenario) and early August (in an optimistic scenario). The initial lockdown measures and social distancing delayed the peak in Covid-19 cases, to allow the government to prepare for medical requirements, such as hospital and intensive care unit beds. The epidemic is expected to peak at different times in different provinces, and between different districts and subdistricts.
