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No, research company Ipsos hasn’t released poll on Kenya’s Machakos county senate race

On 18 March 2021 Kenya’s Machakos county is set to hold a senatorial by-election. A graphic posted on Facebook with the logo of research and polling company Ipsos seems to reveal the frontrunners.

Its header reads: “Ipsos survey ranking on Machakos county senatorial seat”.

The graphic ranks Agnes Kavindu of Wiper Party the most popular candidate, with 62%. She is followed by John Mutua Katuku of Maendeleo Chap Chap Party with 19%, Ulbanus Ngengele of the United Democratic Alliance with 11%, while “others” have 8%. 

But did an Ipsos poll produce these numbers? We checked.


‘Source of data unknown’

The agency usually releases its findings to the media, but no such survey has yet been reported.

On 26 January Ipsos posted the graphic on Facebook and Twitter, stamped “FAKE”.



“The source of this data is unknown to Ipsos,” text in the stamp reads.

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